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Correspondence to Author: Yun Ju Song¹, Wonhyeop Shin2^2,3,Seung Gyu Jeong^*4, Ho Gul Kim ^*5,Jae-Hwa Suh ⁴,Yu Jin Kim⁴,In Jae Hwang⁴. 

1. Graduate School of Environmental Landscape Architecture, Cheongju University, Korea.
2. Interdisciplinary Program in Landscape Architecture, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
3. Transdisciplinary Program in Smart City Global Convergence, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea.
4. Climate Change and Environmental Biology Research Division, National Institute of Biological Resources, Korea
5. Department of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning, Cheongju University, Korea.

DOI: 10.52338/jobb.2025.4237

Abstract:

Protected areas play a crucial role in mitigating the impact of climate change on biodiversity. However, traditional methods of expanding protected areas have focused solely on increasing area size to meet the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) objectives, without considering the effects of climate change. This study aims to address the limitations of previous research by analyzing the impact of climate change on biodiversity. It prioritizes protected areas by examining changes in key habitats for 10 South Korean mammal species across three periods: A (2011-2040), B (2041-2070), and C (2071-2100). Two scenarios were used: SSP1-2.6 (active mitigation) and SSP3-7.0 (passive mitigation). In the SSP1- 2.6 scenario, key habitat areas decreased in period B but gradually recovered in period C, while in SSP3-7.0, habitatareas slightly increased in period B but decreased again in period C. The findings suggest that climate change mitigation policies significantly affect habitat area changes. Based on this analysis, the study recommends prioritizing southern Gangwon-do and northern Gyeongsangbuk-do as first-priority protected areas, with Demilitarized Zone (DMZ)-adjacent regions, eastern Gyeonggi-do, and western Gangwon-do as second priorities for future conservation efforts. It is expected that the proposed key habitat areas will be a useful reference for future mid- to long-term expansion of protected areas.
Keywords:climate change; key habitat area; MaxEnt; potential habitat

Citation:

Dr.Yun Ju Song ,Analyzing Priority for Protected Area Expansion Based on Predicting Mammals’ Habitat Distribution Using SSP Scenarios. Journal of Biosciences and Bioengineering 2025.